Pleasing Q1 for Sainsbury

A takeover battle for Morrisons now overshadows the food retailing sector.

Article updated: 6 July 2021 8:30am Author: Keith Bowman

The possible read across for rivals such as Sainsbury’s is evident. The grocer’s shares are up by almost 7% since 18 June and prior to any bid for Morrisons (as of the close 5 July). That compares to a gain of just 2% for the wider FTSE 100 index (as of the close 5 July).

Strong defensive cashflows and a largely freehold property portfolio have caught the eye of private equity investors at Morrisons and follows the previous purchase of Asda from former US owner Walmart. 

As for first-quarter trading at Sainsbury’s, the update is broadly pleasing, with the core outcome a £30 million uplift in expected current full-year underlying profit to at least £660 million. Online grocery sales have continued to grow, rising by 29% year-over-year, with total retail sales up 1.6% excluding fuel.

In all, the core concern across the sector, that of intense competition from the discount retailers Aldi and Lidl, remains the same. CEO Simon Roberts’ revival plan now has the further distraction of industry M&A activity, while Amazon’s potential part in the sector’s future remains to be seen.

On the upside, an estimated dividend yield of close to 4% is tough to ignore in the now firmly established ultra-low interest rate world, while M&A activity is now asking appropriate valuation questions for all players. In all, the threat from the discounters has been considered high for Sainsbury’s. But yesterday’s news of a further £50 million investment in price cuts and this latest positive trading update could inject optimism into a consensus market opinion currently standing at a ‘strong hold’.”

More from Keith Bowman: read more articles directly on the interactive investor website.

These views are those of the author alone and do not necessarily reflect the view of The Share Centre, its officers and employees.

Keith Bowman

Investment Writer/Analyst

Keith began his career in the City in 1986 with Kleinwort Grieveson Securities. He then worked for Barclays and NatWest Stockbrokers before joining Hargreaves Lansdown as an Equity Analyst in 2005. A member of the Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment (MCSI), he joined interactive investor in 2019, where he now works as a companies analyst within the equities team. You will often see Keith quoted in the financial press.

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