Tuesday preview: Alphabet, BP and US-China trade in focus

updated: 29 April 2019 at 3:47pm Author: Alexander Bueso

(Sharecast News) - The focus at the end of the month will be on the start of the next round of US-China trade talks in Beijing, with investors looking for any hints that a deal remains on track, or otherwise.
Against that backdrop, overnight markets in Asia will be the first to respond to the latest monthly reading on the \'official\' China manufacturing sector Purchasing Managers\' Index.

Sentiment readings on UK businesses and consumers meanwhile are due out at midnight on Monday, in the form of survey compiler GfK\'s consumer confidence index and Lloyds business barometre, both covering the month of April.

Stateside, all eyes will be on Google parent Alphabet as it reports its latest set of quarterly results after the close of Wall Street.

In terms of data, the focus in the US will be on the MNI Chicago factory PMI, alongside readings on pending home sales in March and the S&P Case Shiller home price index for February.

Across the Channel meanwhile, the spotlight will be on the latest readings for euro area joblessness and GDP, together with a reading on German unemployment for April and on German consumer confidence for May.

Regarding the GDP report, according to analysts at Barclays Research, recent data releases were pointing to a possible upside surprise for the Spanish economy at the start of the year.

The consensus forecast was for a quarter-on-quarter pace of growth of 0.6%, but those releases were pointing to an expansion closer to 0.75%.

Among the corporate heavyweights set to update markets on Tuesday are BP, Glencore and StanChart.

For the former, analysts at RBC Capital were at $2.2bn for the outfit\'s first quarter net income, versus the company-compiled consensus of $2.3bn, for a 36% drop quarter-on-quarter after an especially strong showing in the last quarter of 2018.

Among the various moving parts were lower volumes and commodity prices impacting on the upstream segment and weaker refining in downstream, together with stronger realisations of Canadian heavy crude after weak ones boosted segment results over the previous three-month stretch.

Higher maintenance and weaker refining also meant underlying cash flow from operations was set to weaken sequentially, the Canadian broker said.

Maintenance in the Gulf of Mexico would push pre-IFRS 16 cash flow from operations to $6.2bn, RBC said, before accounting for $300m for payments linked to the disastrous Macondo oil spill.

Before IFRS 16, gearing should be about flat in comparison to the last quarter of 2018, coning in at between 33-34% on a post IFRS 16 basis \"which may remind investors of BP\'s leverage relative to peers and the need to complete asset sales.

\"Importantly, at current commodity prices we would expect BP to de-gear quickly in 2H19.\"

Tuesday April 30


C4X Discovery Holdings , Image Scan Holdings


Abbey, Ferguson, Manchester & London Investment Trust, RIT Capital Partners, Tristel


BMO Private Equity Trust, Ediston Property Investment Company, Middlefield Canadian Income PCC, TwentyFour Select Monthly Income Fund Limited


Chicago PMI (US) (14:45)

Consumer Confidence (US) (15:00)

GDP (Preliminary) (EU) (10:00)

Import Price Index (GER) (07:00)

Pending Homes Sales (US) (15:00)

Unemployment Rate (GER) (08:55)


Animalcare Group, Dillistone Group, Inspiration Healthcare Group , Novacyt S.A. (CDI), Xeros Technology Group


Billing Services Group Ltd., Royal Bank of Scotland Group


AFC Energy, Anglo American, Aquis Exchange , BBGI SICAV S.A. (DI), Countrywide, e-Therapeutics, Elementis, Grupo Clarin SA GDR (Reg S), Hammerson, Independent News & Media, JPMorgan US Smaller Co. Inv Tst, LSL Property Services, Maven Income and Growth VCT 5, Proteome Sciences, Scotgems, Symphony International Holdings Ltd., Weir Group


Essentra, Greene King, PPHE Hotel Group Ltd


Nationwide House Price Index (07:00)


CRH, HGCapital Trust, Royal Bank of Scotland Group, Sureserve Group, Wynnstay Group


BP, Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (ATT) GDR (Reg S)